The International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued the latest forecast on the Indonesian economy this year and in 2023. The IMF estimates that the Indonesian economy is able to grow 5.6% and 6% respectively. The IMF said the Indonesian economy was supported by the still-high price of global commodities, easing of mobility and sustainable policies, and acceleration of vaccination.
“Indonesia continues to respond with brave, comprehensive, and well-coordinated policy measures to protect the lives and livelihoods of the impact of the covid pandemic,” the IMF wrote. Even though the risk of uncertainty is still high. Among other things, the presence of the latest Covid-19 variant, Omicron was able to reprimand the mobility and economic recovery. Then there is also a risk of changes in developed countries that become more stringent, so they are able to make the financial market shake.
Even though there is a positive side, the price of commodities is still at a high level and helps state revenue. Especially next year is the last for the deficit of the State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) above 3% of GDP. In terms of inflation, the IMF estimates to be maintained at a low level. There is an increase but will take place gradually this year.
Jan 26, 2022, CNBC Indonesia